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2024-12-13 10:29:18

The latest monitoring report released by the World Bank shows that Lebanon's GDP will drop by 6.6% in 2024. The latest Lebanon economic monitoring report released by the World Bank on the 10th shows that the real GDP of Lebanon will drop by 6.6% in 2024 due to the influence of lebanon war. According to the report, the large-scale displacement, destruction and the reduction of personal consumption caused by the conflict have had a devastating impact on Lebanon's economy and exacerbated the country's macroeconomic challenges. The report emphasizes that after the upgrading of lebanon war in September this year, Lebanese key industries, including tourism, have been seriously affected.Analyst: There may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year. Tan Yiming, chief fixed income analyst of Minsheng Securities, said that there may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year, considering the supply pressure of government bonds, the restoration of credit supply and the provision of long-term stable low-cost funds for financial institutions.Galaxy Securities: Pay attention to investment opportunities in the fields of cement, consumer building materials, glass fiber, etc. The Galaxy Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) Cement: the price continues to push up, and the northern region has entered the winter peak-shifting stage. In November, the weather gradually turned cold, and the downstream market demand dropped slightly. Most provinces in the north have entered the stage of winter peak-shifting and kiln-stopping, and the kiln-stopping rate is above 80%. Under the background of improving supply and demand in the industry, cement enterprises continue to push up cement prices. 2) Consumer building materials: The retail end continued to improve month on month. In October, the retail sales of building and decoration materials decreased by 5.8% year-on-year and increased by 4.9% quarter-on-quarter. Recently, with the stabilization of commercial housing sales, the demand for consumer building materials has improved. 3) Glass fiber: the price of roving rose slightly at the end of the month, and the price of electronic yarn was temporarily stable. In November, the demand for wind power yarn and thermoplastic yarn was stable, but the demand for traditional building materials was still under pressure, which led to the general demand for roving. There are resumption of production and new ignition production lines within the month, and the annual production capacity has increased; Near the end of the month, glass fiber enterprises issued a notice of re-pricing roving and products. It will take some time for the new price to land, but it will have a certain driving effect on demand and price in the short term. 4) Float glass: at the end of the year, work will continue to support the market demand and the inventory of enterprises will be improved. In November, work was rushed to support the demand of float glass terminal, but the middle and lower reaches mainly digested the previous inventory, and the purchasing enthusiasm declined. In the context of the contradiction between supply and demand in the industry, the production capacity has been significantly reduced, and the inventory pressure of float glass enterprises has improved. Suggested attention: Beixin Building Materials, CONCH, China Jushi, etc.


Lian Ping, president of the Chief Industry Research Institute of Guangkai, believes that it is expected to reduce the RRR by about 100 basis points in 2025, releasing more than 3 trillion yuan of liquidity. Among them, there is limited room for reducing the deposit reserve ratio of small and medium-sized financial institutions, and the expected RRR reduction is about 50 basis points.Sagitar Juchuang will raise HK$ 277.5 million by placing shares. According to the announcement of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, the robotics company Sagitar Juchuang agreed to place 10 million new shares at a price of HK$ 27.75 per share. The matching price is about 8% lower than Tuesday's closing price of HK$ 30.15 per share. The proceeds from the placement of shares will be mainly used for research and development, enhancing business development capabilities in overseas markets and exploring potential strategic partnership or alliance opportunities.General Motors (GM): The unmanned business Cruise and GM Technical team will be merged, and the plan is expected to be completed in the first half of 2025. According to the priority of GM's capital allocation, GM will no longer fund Cruise's self-driving taxi development business.


Everbright Securities: It is expected that the auto market will usher in the year-end impulse market in December. Everbright Securities reported on December 10 that with the introduction of preferential policies for car purchases by various auto companies at the end of the year and the continuous promotion of trade-in by local governments, it is expected that the auto market will usher in the year-end impulse market in December. Recommend the big white horse bibcock of each subdivision track, and pay attention to the sales of new models in 2025E to achieve high flexibility. 2025E intelligence will continue to become a competitive highland in the industry, paying attention to intelligent theme investment opportunities.Google asked the US Federal Trade Commission (FTC) to terminate the exclusive cloud service agreement between Microsoft and OpenAI.Shengmei Shanghai: The plasma enhanced atomic layer deposition furnace tube equipment has passed the preliminary verification. Shengmei Semiconductor Equipment (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. announced in Guanwei today that its Ultra Fn A plasma enhanced atomic layer deposition furnace tube equipment (PEALD) launched in 2024 has passed the preliminary process verification of a semiconductor customer in Chinese mainland, and is undergoing the final optimization and preparing for mass production. Shengmei Shanghai also announced that its Ultra Fn A Thermal Atomic Layer Deposition Furnace Equipment (Thermal ALD) launched in 2022 has also successfully passed the process verification of another leading Chinese mainland customer, and its performance parameters are comparable to or even better than those of similar international competitors.

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